UNDERDOG NFL OPTIMIZER
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PLAYER
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UNDERDOG
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BOOK ODDS
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| Pos | Name | Line | % to Hit |
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STRK | L5 | L10 | H2H | SZN |
 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET
Over 0.5 Anytime TD
vs GB Sun 4:25PM ET
57.2
% To Hit
-130
-140
-120
-134
-115
-146
L5 60%
L10 40%
H2H 25%
SZN 60%
|
WR |
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs. GB
|
Over 0.5
Anytime TD
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Over 0.5 | 57.2% |
-130 | -140 | -120 | -134 | ||||||
 Chase Brown CIN
Over 0.5 Anytime TD
vs BAL Sun 1:00PM ET
53.2
% To Hit
-110
-105
-125
-115
-115
-115
L5 20%
L10 50%
H2H 50%
SZN 20%
|
RB |
Chase Brown
CIN @ BAL
|
Over 0.5
Anytime TD
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Over 0.5 | 53.2% |
-110 | -105 | -125 | -115 | ||||||
 A.J. Brown NE
Over 69.5 Rec Yards
vs CHI Thu 8:15PM ET
52.5
% To Hit
-127
-112
-114
70.5
-128
-115
-115
68.5
L5 20%
L10 40%
H2H 100%
SZN 0%
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WR |
A.J. Brown
NE @ CHI
|
Over 69.5
Rec Yards
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Over 69.5 | 52.5% |
-127 | -112 |
-114
70.5
|
-128 |
Optimize Your Underdog Slips
The Underdog optimizer looks at real-time odds at multiple sportsbooks, to find you +EV edge for your Underdog slips. Because most SportsBooks set lines independantly, when lines move due to weather, injuries, or other news, these moves happen in the market faster than Underdog adjusts their lines. Using the Optimizer you can see in real-time where the market is, and lock in value before Underdog bumps or takes down props.
Why do props and lines change throughout the day?
Underdog only has a portion of regular line props on their board at any given time. Any prop that is too juiced will be set to a below 1.0 multiplier or bumped. This means that if breaking news suddenly changes the odds on something, Underdog might remove that prop or drop the payout on it. The Underdog Optimizer is constantly refreshing the Underdog board and sportsbook data, so you have a real-time view into both.
What are Underdog bumps?
Bumps are when Underdog increases the prop line above or below SportsBooks lines. Because Prize Picks only has two outcomes to play (more or less), if something is too skewed in one direction they will adjust the line to bring that play closer to 50/50. For example, if Steph Curry has a line of 4.5 three points made, and SportsBooks are carrying this prop at -145 or higher, that means it is heavily favored that Steph will go over 4.5. So Underdog will 'bump' the line to 5, which is closer to a 50/50 outcome. Using the optimizer you can beat these bumps and lock in an edge if you look for plays that are in the -140s across multiple books.
How to predict when a line is about to be bumped?
Typically Underdog will bump a play when multiple books are in the -130s or -140s. This indicates that one side is now favored, so they will want to bring it back closer to 50/50. If you see odds in the -150s or higher, consider those at risk of immediate bumping, and you should look to lock those in fast!